Results Model

The results model gives an overview of the current model parameters by team for both attack and defence. 

Click on individual matches in the table below to derive the most probable score. The simulation is based upon the number of matches in the simulation and the current model parameters. 



Don't forget to press the Go! button above!

Note that the probabilities are based upon their present attack and defence parameters from the model as at 25 December 2020.

Arsenal - English Premier

Position Team Played Points Goal Diff Home Result Away Result
1 Liverpool 14 31 17 Forecast L 1-3  Prediction
2 Leicester 14 27 9 L 0-1  Prediction Forecast
3 Man United 13 26 7 Forecast W 1-0  Prediction
4 Everton 14 26 6 Forecast L 1-2  Prediction
5 Chelsea 14 25 15 Forecast Forecast
6 Tottenham 14 25 11 Forecast L 0-2  Prediction
7 Southampton 14 24 6 D 1-1  Prediction Forecast
8 Man City 13 23 7 Forecast L 0-1  Prediction
9 Aston Villa 12 22 11 L 0-3  Prediction Forecast
10 West Ham 14 21 2 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast
11 Wolves 14 20 -5 L 1-2  Prediction Forecast
12 Newcastle 13 18 -5 Forecast Forecast
13 Crystal Palace 14 18 -6 Forecast Forecast
14 Leeds 14 17 -6 Forecast D 0-0  Prediction
15 Arsenal 14 14 -6
16 Burnley 13 13 -11 L 0-1  Prediction Forecast
17 Brighton 14 12 -6 Forecast Forecast
18 Fulham 14 10 -10 Forecast W 3-0  Prediction
19 West Brom 14 7 -19 Forecast Forecast
20 Sheffield United 14 2 -17 W 2-1  Prediction Forecast

Home and Away Constants

Home 1.14Away 0.68

Current Team Parameters

Team Attack Defence Variation
Arsenal 0.80 0.13 0.00
Aston Villa 0.37 -0.06 0.03
Brighton 0.15 -0.02 0.01
Burnley 0.22 0.02 0.01
Chelsea 0.80 0.24 0.01
Crystal Palace 0.20 -0.02 0.01
Everton 0.45 0.09 0.00
Fulham 0.07 -0.16 0.09
Leeds 0.88 -0.62 0.09
Leicester 0.53 0.11 0.01
Liverpool 1.15 0.37 0.01
Man City 1.34 0.47 0.01
Man United 0.78 0.32 0.01
Newcastle 0.19 0.01 0.01
Sheffield United 0.04 0.26 0.02
Southampton 0.38 0.04 0.01
Tottenham 0.74 0.32 0.01
West Brom 0.03 -0.46 0.11
West Ham 0.42 -0.14 0.01
Wolves 0.36 0.25 0.01